The calculus of navigating complex healthcare transactions has grown considerably more intricate in the face of a challenging deal environment. Health systems are squeezed by a vice of rising interest rates, economic uncertainty fueled by Federal Reserve actions and a constantly shifting regulatory terrain. The financial toll of the past two years, with inflation straining budgets and pressuring margins, has further complicated the picture. This climate, however, has not entirely stifled deal flow. M&A activity in healthcare remains robust, albeit driven by a newfound emphasis on strategic considerations as health systems navigate this landscape of heightened complexity. Given the aforementioned factors, it is important that industry leaders develop and adhere to robust strategies for navigating an increasingly complex transaction environment and remain vigilant to shifting, emerging and declining trends and opportunities. While there is no cookie-cutter approach that will yield consistent outcomes, this paper is intended to provide those executives, lawyers, investors, consultants and other professionals with a strategic framework and playbook that can be adapted to specific needs and industry segments and improve value creation from strategic transactions.
Health care in the USA continues to be at an inflection point, marked by several important market trends that are driving material changes in the way health care is delivered, accessed and consumed. Several indicators point towards significant market trends that also indicate a rising wave of disruptive forces that bolster innovation across the healthcare landscape:
Given these healthcare trends, health systems will need to deliberately lay out essential strategic priorities, with a focus on the following:
From a purely economic perspective, driving profitable growth demands that health systems focus on diversifying their footprint to play in the emerging, faster-growing value pools and accelerate transition to value-based care, including the adoption of alternative payment models and innovative approaches to better manage the total cost of care. More importantly, as purveyors of delivering health care to communities they serve, health systems need to leverage their essential capabilities along with their brand presence to establish strong positions across established and emerging value pools.
To accelerate the strategic position in their market, health systems continue to leverage inorganic growth levers owing to several benefits driven by efficiencies in capital allocation, realized synergies and speed-to-achieve objectives. Several studies looking at companies that create long-term value show that programmatic capital allocators focused on inorganic growth (vs. ad hoc selective or organic investors) generate better long-term value creation. Although the health system transaction landscape is highly varied and complex, there are six primary archetypes that have increased in popularity in recent years: (a) horizontal consolidation or M&A; (b) joint ventures and strategic partnerships between nonprofit and for-profit entities; (c) structured innovation bets with early stage companies or investors; (d) corporate carve-outs; (e) health-system consortium plays; and (f) strategic direct equity investments. For each archetype, we provide an overview, recent examples and our outlook.
When done right, horizontal scale can help: (a) improve commercial effectiveness by delivering a more differentiated brand for employers, payers, patients and care providers; (b) deliver operational synergies by rationalizing capacity, leading to footprint optimization where appropriate, rationalize support services, create scale in buying and more; (c) create better balance sheets for the whole; and (d) increase the ability to invest, through increased scale, in next-generation capabilities such as in digital or consumer and provider experience. While there is considerable debate on the extent of realizable synergies through scale which varies in the deal-by-deal context, the opportunity to create effectiveness in capability investments is less debated. With growing margin pressures and the increasing need to double down on capability investments in a largely fragmented care delivery industry, health systems will need to both programmatically and opportunistically evaluate horizontal integration moves.
As Kaufman Hall and Cain Brothers have reported, the number of horizontal transactions has continued to increase, and although the average size of the acquired company decreased in 2023 from 2022, it is still ahead of 5- or 10-year averages. The specific trends being seen and expected to continue include the following:
We believe horizontal consolidation will continue in the future as health systems look for new ways to strengthen balance sheets and achieve greater operational efficiency through economies of scale and scope to keep pace or outpace inflationary pressure.
We expect to see an acceleration in consolidations and in particular JVs and strategic partnerships outside the four walls of the hospital, and we expect to see a continued evolution in the parties engaged in those transactions. We believe this will be driven by revenue and margin diversification trends as more and more lives come under value-based arrangements that will create more pressures on inpatient utilization. Several examples of continued acceleration can be seen across the board:
These partnerships are frequently value accretive for health systems when the counterparties bring operational expertise, differentiated capabilities and speed-to-market tied to a specific service area (such as those outlined previously) that trumps anything the health system could reasonably achieve on its own. Given the revenue and margin intensity of essential acute care operations and hospital-based services, it generally benefits the health system to focus on those aspects of the continuum while allowing a strong partner to deliver value in more distant or detached verticals, particularly those that need to cater to a wide patient base to maximize return.
In any strategic partnership, but particularly in JVs, given the difficulty in unwinding, health systems need to expand their playbook to ensure the system can access upside commensurate with the value they bring, protect the system from significant downside risk and ensure the system has sufficient governance and oversight to enable long-term strategic alignment. Creative structures that optimize the must-have and nice-to-have transaction terms for both parties are emerging and include the following:
Given the several pain points and unmet needs in how care is accessed and delivered, there are several opportunities ripe for innovative business building to create differentiated solutions. We believe that health systems are a critical enabler to bring these innovative models to market, given that they are closest to consumers’ needs. Creating and testing these innovative solutions will require experimenting with several concepts with finite failure rates. Therefore, a test-and-learn or lab concept is critical. That said, running at tight operating margins, health systems often lack the R&D budgets that other points in the value chain (e.g. life sciences, medical products, insurers and technology companies) have. Furthermore, they also often lack the financial models to incentivize and attract entrepreneurial talent to work within their systems to solve these problems.
At the same time, there has been a growing proliferation of venture-backed investments in the sector, resulting in an ecosystem of providers that are already investing in, or that have the willingness to (e.g. through venture studios) invest in, solutions that tackle these unmet needs from the supply side. As an example, there has been a rapid growth in new businesses that solve the growing community needs in behavioral health, women’s health, pediatrics and value-based care delivery. These companies often lack the local distribution access that health systems have that provides ample opportunities for health systems to partner with these innovative companies in testing models for business building.
Health systems can derive great benefit from establishing a structured, collaborative platform to facilitate structured identification of important pain points and unmet needs and tap into a wide set of companies with innovative solutions to solve these. This type of approach can also make sense for health systems with academic medical partnerships in AMCs given the set of capabilities required. As an example, AMCs can be a helpful accelerant to specific clinical pathways where they may have incumbent capabilities but often find areas (like in digital health models) that are outside their essential remit.
Taking the steps to evaluate and select business-building ideas to drive through an innovation-focused platform may yield great benefits in the long term, including cementing a ‘culture of innovation’ within the system to help rapidly adapt to ever-changing market dynamics. Over time this can also support more inside out innovation as well as help accelerate innovation outside smart-growth business building into the full spectrum of clinical, operational and administrative workflows.
One strategy gaining traction involves partnering with promising early-stage companies or even systematically with venture firms that direct several of these innovations. Such partnerships demonstrate a shift towards a more strategic approach by health systems, enabling them to identify and nurture promising healthcare advancements at an early stage. There are a range of affiliation models between health systems and venture firms:
This spectrum highlights the range of strategies available to health systems seeking innovation. Choosing the right affiliation model depends on a health system’s goals, specific needs and appetite for risk versus ownership and control in the innovation process.
Taking the steps to evaluate and select business-building ideas to drive through an innovation-focused platform may yield great benefits in the long term, including cementing a ‘culture of innovation’ within the system to help rapidly adapt to ever-changing market dynamics. Over time this can also support more inside-out innovation as well as help accelerate innovation outside smart-growth business building into the full spectrum of clinical, operational and administrative workflows.
Health system carve-out transactions are typically based on two different but related factors: (a) creation of industry leading capabilities that warrant broader commercialization; and (b) shifting strategic priorities (i.e. evolution of a health system’s ‘where to play, how to win’ philosophy) in terms of geographic or service line focus. As an example of a capability carve-out, consider Providence and its asset Acclara. Providence developed industry leading revenue cycle capabilities and opted to first establish a stand-alone business entity to commercialize that capability and then sold the entity to R1, which strengthens the balance sheet position in a nonessential functional capability, while continuing to leverage Acclara revenue cycle capabilities via a commercial contract. An example of strategic carve-out includes Community Health Systems divesting several of its assets in West Virginia, Arkansas and Florida, and Tenet’s divestments in Southern California and California.
As health systems invest more heavily in innovation and seek new profit centres, we expect to see both a re-investment such as the foregoing levers as well as finding areas that warrant this type of carve-out transactions. Shifting strategic priorities have driven, and will continue to drive, significant transaction activity tied to geographies or verticals. Larger health systems often enter and exit markets as situations change and priorities evolve.
In the midst of the current market environment, several creative deal structures such as long-term commercial contracts, noncompete arrangements and staggered payment arrangements based on asset performance are being implemented to de-risk the investments.
Consortium Plays Are Emerging as a Powerful Way for Health Systems to Address Industry-Wide Challenges and Create Innovative Solutions Unavailable Through Traditional Channels
Consortia offer an avenue for collaboration across organizations that might otherwise be competitors. Recent examples like Truveta and Civica Rx illustrate the potential of these initiatives. Truveta, a data platform built by a consortium of health systems, seeks to aggregate and analyze vast amounts of patient data, driving insights to improve care and research. Civica Rx, also formed by a health system consortium, tackles the issue of drug shortages and price instability by directly manufacturing generic medications. Consortium plays allow health systems to pool resources, share expertise and mitigate risk while driving transformative change. These initiatives often revolve around critical business priorities, targeting areas where existing solutions are inadequate or cost prohibitive. By leveraging the collective influence of multiple health systems, consortia can create new companies that directly address shared pain points, potentially disrupting entire segments of the healthcare industry and ultimately improving quality and access to care.
Health systems can pursue direct equity investments across thematically aligned focus areas. Health systems that follow this strategy can generate incremental value through preferred access to aligned solutions and services, as well as generate investment alpha on equity investments due to proprietary insights on what works, enabling better underwriting as well as value creation through alignment with essential operations. Moreover, some of these investments can be shepherded by prominent investors with either direct control or considerable influence on strategic direction and operational value creation, thereby allowing health systems to avoid recreating what can be costly portfolio value creation capabilities.
The primary advantages of creating structured avenues for direct equity investments within health systems include: (a) considerable synergies across diligence processes for equity investments and evaluation processes for differentiated companies to partner with for either deeper, strategic relationships or innovative pilots; and (b) alignment in a win-win approach for operating and investment platforms. Further, investing in companies can serve as a conduit to product development on solutions that solve critical customer issues and preferred access to latest thinking and innovations. Beckers calls out health systems with investment arms. The real number is likely higher, given that, as an example, Memorial Hermann Health System has invested in over 40 companies in the last three years and was not included in the Beckers list.
Irrespective of the specific priority choices, there are multiple important levers that are becoming critical for health systems to successfully execute on these programmatic inorganic choices:
In conclusion, as health systems navigate the complexities of healthcare transactions, structured innovation investments emerge as a powerful tool for driving strategic growth and delivering value to patients and communities. By embracing innovation and forging strategic partnerships, health systems can position themselves at the forefront of healthcare transformation, driving improved outcomes and sustainable success in an ever-evolving industry landscape.
The thoughts in this article outline the crucial factors for successful execution, such as modernizing capital allocation; creating effective governance structures; and building capabilities to test, learn and scale innovations. By leveraging these strategies, healthcare systems can better position themselves for sustainable growth, improve patient outcomes and create value in an increasingly dynamic and competitive market.
Feby Abraham, PhD, is executive vice president and chief strategy officer for Memorial Hermann.
Ross Clements is vice president of strategy for Memorial Hermann.
*Chris Shea contributed to this article during his tenure with Memorial Hermann.
This article was originally published in Management in Healthcare: A Peer-Reviewed Journal on August 2, 2024.